Monday, June 23, 2025 | Oriole Park at Camden Yards | First pitch: 5:35 p.m. CT
Probable Pitchers
Team | Pitcher | 2025 Record | ERA | WHIP | K / BB | Notes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TEX | LHP Patrick Corbin | 4-6 | 3.91 | 1.28 | 53 / 21 | Two straight road starts with 6 K; holding opponents to .247 |
BAL | LHP Trevor Rogers | 0-0 | 3.12 | 1.17 | 18 / 6 | Second start since returning from lat strain; works off mid-90s sinker |
Rangers at a Glance
- Recent form: Took 2 of 3 in Pittsburgh; have won 5 of last 7 overall.
- Offensive spark: Adolis GarcÃa (13 HR) and Josh Smith (.292 AVG) pacing a lineup still without Wyatt Langford (back spasms) and Jake Burger (IL).
- X-factor tonight: Catcher Jonah Heim is riding a mini-streak (3 hits in his last 5 AB) and owns a .301 OBP vs. left-handed pitching.
Orioles at a Glance
- Recent form: Dropped 6 of 8, averaging just 3.2 R/G in that span; bottom-five MLB in OBP and SLG.
- Bright spot: Gunnar Henderson (.281, 8 HR, 23 RBI) carries the lineup, but he’s 0-for-5 lifetime vs. Corbin and hitting only .217 against southpaws.
- Needed boost: Baltimore’s bullpen (4.68 ERA) has been overworked—Rogers getting into the sixth would be a welcome sight for manager Brandon Hyde.
Three Storylines to Watch
- Corbin’s K Potential
The veteran lefty has fanned six hitters in back-to-back road outings and faces an Orioles offense that ranks 8th-most in strikeouts. His slider-changeup mix has generated a 32% whiff rate over his last three starts. - Lefty-Lefty Chess Match
Henderson vs. Corbin is the marquee duel. Corbin’s sweeping slider has neutralized Henderson in limited head-to-head action, and the Orioles’ star has slugged just .333 off lefties all year. - Return of Trevor Rogers
Baltimore is counting on the former first-rounder to stabilize its rotation. Rogers held the Mets to one run over five frames in his ’25 debut; how he navigates GarcÃa and Smith will dictate the early innings.
By the Numbers
Category | Rangers | Orioles |
---|---|---|
Runs / Game | 4.46 (15th) | 3.83 (25th) |
Team OPS | .712 | .665 |
Strikeout Rate (Offense) | 22.2% | 24.8% |
Bullpen ERA | 3.85 | 4.68 |
Quick Hits
- Texas is 17-14 against left-handed starters this season.
- Baltimore is 11-9 in one-run games, but 5-16 when trailing after six innings.
- Rangers OF Evan Carter is expected back in the lineup after a scheduled day off Sunday (2-for-8 career vs. Rogers).
Forecast & First-Pitch Odds
- Weather: 81°F, light breeze out to right.
- Vegas line: Rangers -135 favorite; O/U 8.5.
Bottom Line:
If Patrick Corbin continues to miss bats and keep Gunnar Henderson quiet, Texas is well-positioned to start its road trip with a win. For Baltimore, Trevor Rogers must match zeroes early and give a punch-less lineup a chance to scrape together support.