ARLINGTON, Texas (August 4, 2025) — The New York Yankees (60-52) arrive in Arlington tonight looking to right the ship after a frustrating three-game sweep at the hands of the Miami Marlins. They’ll open their series against the Texas Rangers (58-55) at 7:05 p.m. CST at Globe Life Field with ace Max Fried set to take the mound opposite veteran left-hander Patrick Corbin.

New York was outscored 22-14 in their series against Miami, a surprising stumble for a team that had previously won three straight games. With their playoff hopes still very much alive, the Yankees are looking to regain momentum against a Rangers team that has struggled in recent weeks.

Texas, meanwhile, has dropped three of its last four games and is 2-5 over its past seven, cooling off after a hot start to the second half in which they went 8-1. The Rangers remain above .500 in the second half at 10-6 but face the challenge of stopping one of the American League’s top arms in Fried.

Pitching Matchup

Yankees: Max Fried (12-4, 2.62 ERA)
Fried continues to prove why he’s considered one of the premier pitchers in baseball. The left-hander enters with a stellar 2.62 ERA and has been dominant in his recent outings. In his last start, he allowed just two earned runs across six innings while striking out nine. His combination of command and swing-and-miss stuff makes him a tough matchup for any lineup, and he’ll look to set the tone early against a Texas team that has been inconsistent at the plate.

Rangers: Patrick Corbin (6-7, 3.78 ERA)
Corbin has been solid but unspectacular this season, giving Texas quality innings while navigating tough American League lineups. In his last outing, he limited damage to two earned runs over five innings, allowing three hits and striking out six. The Rangers will need him to be sharp, as the Yankees’ offense, despite its recent struggles, remains dangerous.

Recent Team Performance

For New York, the series loss to Miami raised questions about which version of the Yankees will show up in Arlington. Their lineup has been capable of explosive outbursts but also prone to quiet stretches. The Yankees’ pitching, outside of Fried, has been hit hard in recent days, something they’ll look to stabilize in Texas.

Texas, on the other hand, has seen its early post-All-Star break surge lose steam. After dominating with an 8-1 stretch, the Rangers have stumbled, going 2-5 in their last seven. Offensively, they’ve struggled to deliver timely hits, and their bullpen has been taxed.

Key Players to Watch

• Aaron Judge, Yankees: The heart of the New York lineup, Judge remains a constant threat to change the game with one swing. If he finds his rhythm early, the Rangers could be in for a long night.

• Adolis García, Rangers: The Rangers’ slugger continues to provide power in the middle of the order. His ability to square up Fried’s fastball-slider mix could determine how competitive Texas is offensively.

• Gleyber Torres, Yankees: A consistent contributor in the Yankees’ infield, Torres’ knack for clutch hits could prove critical in a low-scoring matchup.

• Corey Seager, Rangers: The veteran shortstop has been heating up at the plate and remains one of Texas’ most reliable bats against top-tier pitching.

Betting Odds & Picks

• Moneyline: Yankees -161, Rangers +135

• Spread: Yankees -1.5

• Total Runs: 8.0

With Fried on the mound, the Yankees enter as favorites, and for good reason. The total of 8.0 suggests oddsmakers expect a relatively low-scoring affair, with pitching set to take center stage.

Prediction

The Yankees’ skid has raised some red flags, but with Max Fried dealing, they appear well-positioned to get back on track. Corbin should keep Texas in the game early, but if the Yankees’ lineup can generate early run support, New York’s bullpen should be able to finish the job.

Prediction: Yankees 5, Rangers 3